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Evidence on Atrial Fibrillation and Mortality Risk
In recent years, growing scientific attention has been given to the health effects of soy-based foods, including natto. Among these, potential associations with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cardiac arrhythmias have been explored in several population-based studies.
This article reviews recent and prior epidemiological research examining whether natto consumption is associated with a reduced risk of atrial fibrillation and cardiovascular disease–related mortality.

A recent study conducted by researchers at the National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center of Japan investigated the relationship between soy food intake and the risk of developing atrial fibrillation.
The findings indicated that higher natto and vitamin K intake were associated with a lower risk of atrial fibrillation in women, while no significant association was observed in men.
Specifically:
What Is Atrial Fibrillation? Atrial fibrillation is a type of cardiac arrhythmia characterized by irregular and rapid electrical activity in the atria of the heart. While it does not typically cause sudden cardiac death like ventricular fibrillation, it is a major risk factor for ischemic stroke and other cardiovascular complications, making it a significant public health concern.
This investigation was a prospective cohort study involving 5,278 Japanese men and women aged 30 to 90 years living in urban areas.
At baseline:
Participants were followed for an average of 12.6 years, and atrial fibrillation cases were identified using:
Among women:
Among men:
Importantly, for both men and women, no significant association was observed between atrial fibrillation risk and intake of:
These findings were published in the January 2026 issue of The Journal of Nutrition.
| Unit of meassurement | Women | Men |
|---|---|---|
| Natto intake (highest vs. lowest)) | Atrial fibrillation risk: 56% Reduction | 3% reduction (not related)) |
| Vitamin K intake (Highest vs. Lowest) | Atrial Fibrillation Risk: 67% Reduction | Not Related |
| Total soy food intake | Not Related | Not Related |
| Tofu intake | Not Related | Not Related |
| Soybean intake | Not Related | Not Related |
| Isoflavone intake | Not Related | Not Related |
These results were published in the January 2026 issue of The Journal of Nutrition.

Additional evidence comes from the well-known Takayama Study, a long-running cohort study initiated in 1992 by a research team at Gifu University.
This study aimed to clarify the relationship between dietary habits and long-term health outcomes, including cause-specific mortality, among residents of Takayama City, Japan.
The analysis included 29,079 adults aged 35 years and older (13,355 men and 15,724 women).
Researchers examined associations between intake of:
and mortality from cardiovascular disease, including stroke and ischemic heart disease.
During the follow-up period:
Participants with the highest natto intake showed a 25% lower risk of all-cause mortality compared with those with the lowest intake.
When analyzed by disease category:
In contrast:
These results were published in the December 7, 2016 issue of The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition.
| Unit of meassurement | Results (highest vs. lowest intake group) |
|---|---|
| Total mortality risk | 25% reduction |
| Death from stroke | 32% reduction |
| Death from ischemic stroke | 33% reduction |
| Item / Category | Outcome / Disease | Results (Highest vs. Lowest Intake) |
|---|---|---|
| Soy Protein | Total Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) | No significant association |
| Stroke Mortality | 25% reduction | |
| Soy Isoflavones | Total Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) | No significant association |
These results were published in the December 7, 2016, issue of The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition.
A prospective cohort study follows a defined group of individuals over time, starting from a baseline assessment, to compare disease incidence or mortality rates based on exposure levels (such as dietary intake). This design is commonly used to identify associations between lifestyle factors and health outcomes.

Taken together, these studies suggest that natto consumption may be associated with favorable cardiovascular health indicators, particularly in relation to atrial fibrillation and stroke-related mortality.
While these findings do not establish causation, they indicate that including natto as part of a balanced dietary pattern may be a reasonable option for individuals considering evidence-based dietary choices.
Notably, several studies highlight the potential role of spore-forming natto bacteria, which may contribute to natto’s unique biological properties.

References
1) P. Khairan, et al. Association of Soy Foods, Soybeans, Isoflavones, and Vitamin K Intake and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: A Prospective Cohort Study, J. Nutr. 156 (2026) 101252
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tjnut.2025.11.021
2) 心房細動:Medical Note
https://medicalnote.jp/diseases/%E5%BF%83%E6%88%BF%E7%B4%B0%E5%8B%95
3) C. Nagata, et al. Dietary soy and natto intake and cardiovascular disease mortality in Japanese adults, the Takayama study, Am J Clin Nutr. 2016 Dec 7
4) 高山スタディについて:岐阜大学医学部 ホームページ
https://www1.gifu-u.ac.jp/~ph/takayama.html

小笠原 和也
そのもの株式会社学術顧問/元九州大学大学院 農学研究院 特任准教授
熊本大学大学院医学教育部卒。 ナットウキナーゼをはじめとする機能性⾷品原料の研究開発、 39年間にわたる納⾖菌を主とする微⽣物学・醗酵学・酵素学の研究開発の経験をもとに幅広く活躍中。
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